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Rangers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - March 25

New York Rangers v New York Islanders

Photo: Bruce Bennett / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The New York Rangers (28-34-9, riding a five-game losing streak) visit the Toronto Maple Leafs (30-29-13) at Scotiabank Arena. The contest on Wednesday, March 25 starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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To prepare for this matchup, here's who we project to emerge victorious in Wednesday's hockey action.

In the last 10 contests, the Maple Leafs have registered a 3-5-2 record after scoring 27 total goals (five power-play goals on 28 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 17.9%). Their opponents have scored a combined 33 goals in those games.

Rangers vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Wednesday

Our computer model for this matchup predicts a final result of Maple Leafs 4, Rangers 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (+106)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Rangers Splits and Trends

  • The Rangers are 9-9-18 in overtime games as part of a 28-34-9 overall record.
  • New York has 24 points (8-9-8) in the 25 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • The 12 times this season the Rangers ended a game with just one goal, they went 1-10-1 (three points).
  • New York has finished 3-6-6 in the 15 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering 12 points).
  • The Rangers are 24-9-2 in the 35 games when they have scored more than two goals (to record 50 points).
  • In the 26 games when New York has recorded a single power-play goal, it picked up 31 points after finishing 14-9-3.
  • In the 23 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, New York is 10-9-4 (24 points).
  • The Rangers' opponents have had more shots in 45 games. The Rangers finished 16-24-5 in those matchups (37 points).

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs (30-29-13 overall) have posted a record of 8-13-21 in contests that have gone to OT this season.
  • Toronto has earned 31 points (11-3-9) in its 23 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
  • This season the Maple Leafs recorded just one goal in eight games and they've earned two points (0-6-2) in those contests.
  • Toronto has earned 15 points (5-11-5 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
  • The Maple Leafs have earned 56 points in their 42 games with at least three goals scored.
  • Toronto has scored a lone power-play goal in 21 games this season and has registered 18 points from those matchups.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Toronto is 7-8-2 (16 points).
  • The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents in 53 games, going 21-21-11 to register 53 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Rangers Rank Rangers AVG Maple Leafs AVG Maple Leafs Rank
26th 2.76 Goals Scored 3.11 15th
24th 3.17 Goals Allowed 3.44 29th
31st 24.8 Shots 27.1 21st
25th 29.4 Shots Allowed 32.2 32nd
7th 23.76% Power Play % 19.54% 20th
23rd 77.88% Penalty Kill % 82.65% 5th

Rangers vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Wednesday, March 25, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario

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