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A new NBC News poll shows that many voters would now choose between former Vice President Kamala Harris over President Donald Trump, according to CNN data guru Harry Enten.
“Regrets … some folks had a few,” Enten said during a segment showing Harris' improved numbers.
Trump defeated Harris in the November 2024 election by just more than a point and a half, according to the survey, but Harris pulled ahead by one point in a redo poll conducted in April 2025 and is now leading by an eight-point margin.
“Kamala Harris wins in a redo, asking folks essentially if you could redo the 2024 election, how would you vote?” Enten explained. “She wins it by, get this, eight points. A massive shift from what we saw back in November of 2024 when Donald Trump won by a point, and I will note that this sample was weighted to the 2024 result in which Donald Trump won by a point. And yet Kamala Harris in this weighted sample, she wins by eight amongst the sample that voted for Trump by one.”
Enten said the poll could serve as a preview for the midterm election, specifically among swing state voters.
“It has a massive impact on voter sentiment about what may happen late this year,” he said. “Why do I say that? Because let’s take a look at the vote for Congress and this is very important. The 2024 Harris voters, they vote for the Democrats on average by get this, 89 points. The Trump voters vote for Republicans by 83 points.
“This means that the Democratic base that voted for Kamala Harris is sticking with those congressional Democratic candidates more than the Trump voters are sticking with the Republican candidates,” Enten added. “ And that is why what you are seeing on that generic congressional ballot at this point is Democrats leaping ahead by about five points because the Trump voters are not sticking by Republicans as much as the Harris voters are sticking by the Democrats.”